
While the stock market is up since early March, the economy as well as corporate earnings continue to suffer. This S&P 500 earnings chart provides some historical perspective on the current economic decline. This chart illustrates that 12-month earnings as-reported have declined over 90% over the past 20 months (with over 90% of S&P 500 companies having reported for Q1 2009), making this by far the largest decline on record (the data goes back to 1936). In fact, real earnings have dropped to a record low and if current estimates hold, Q3 2009 will see the first 12-month period during which S&P 500 earnings are negative. What recovery?!?!
WolframAlpha is a revolutionary new search engine that computes answers rather than pointing to websites. The site was officially launched yesterday amid heated talk that it could challenge the might of Google. The service can compute the distance between two cities, the population of a country, county or city at a specific date and the position of the Space Shuttle at any given moment. The user does not have to search through links provided by the engine; the answer comes immediately and, if appropriate, is accompanied by charts or graphs. What it does that Google, at the moment, cannot do is provide answers to questions that have not been answered already.
"WolframAlpha's long-term goal is to make all systematic knowledge immediately computable and accessible to everyone. We aim to collect and curate all objective data; implement every known model, method, and algorithm; and make it possible to compute whatever can be computed about anything. Our goal is to build on the achievements of science and other systematizations of knowledge to provide a single source that can be relied on by everyone for definitive answers to factual queries."
The movie trailer is out for the big screen adaptation of The Road!!!
In a small southern town, the holiday season is in full swing. It is raining so there is not too much business taking place. Everyone there is heavily in debt.
Luckily, a wealthy tourist arrives in the foyer of the small local hotel. He asks for a room and puts a $100 bill on the reception counter, takes a key and goes to inspect the room located up the stairs on the third floor.
• The hotel owner takes the $100 bill and rushes to his meat supplier to whom he owes $100.
• The butcher takes the money and races to his supplier to pay off his debt.
• The wholesaler rushes to the farmer to pay $100 for pigs he purchased some time ago.
• The farmer gives the $100 bill to a local prostitute who gave him her services on credit.
• The prostitute goes to the hotel where she owed $100 for her hotel room used to entertain clients.
At that moment, the rich tourist comes back down to the reception desk and informs the hotel owner that the room is unsatisfactory. He takes his $100 bill back and departs.
There was no profit or income. But everyone is now out of debt and the small town’s people look optimistically towards their future.
And I'm soooo excited to see Cody. So in honor of that, I'm doing a Cody-a-Day post until we leave. I've posted some of this before but these warrant reposting. An Ode to Liars (from the days of
Potemkin
"Potemkin villages were purportedly fake settlements erected at the direction of Russian minister Grigori Aleksandrovich Potemkin to fool Empress Catherine II during her visit to Crimea in 1787. According to this story, Potemkin, who led the Crimean military campaign, had hollow facades of villages constructed along the desolate banks of the Dnieper River in order to impress the monarch and her travel party with the value of her new conquests, thus enhancing his standing in the empress's eyes." - wikipedia entry
Potemkin at a table. It's covered with blueprints. He's rolling them up.
A second or two passes. Icarus enters.
ICARUS
I don't get it.
POTEMKIN
You're not supposed to get it. I didn't build them for you. I built them for her. She gets them. Their purpose is served.
ICARUS
I still don't get it.
POTEMKIN
This, from the boy with feathers.
ICARUS
Snarky. I didn't choose the feathers.
POTEMKIN
And I didn't choose this.
He rolls up more blueprints.
ICARUS
What hapens to them now?
POTEMKIN
I don't care.
ICARUS
So you're just going to leave them there?
POTEMKIN
Yes.
ICARUS
Houses that aren't houses. Shops that aren't shops. Streets leading to nowhere that look like they're leading home.
POTEMKIN
Yes. I shall leave them.
ICARUS
That's kind of a shitty thing to do.
POTEMKIN
I don't care! Don't you have other things to do? Really? You're not even chronologically significant. This is 1787. You're a few thousand years out of joint. Shouldn't you be in the air or something?
ICARUS
I don't fly until noon. Maybe one. Hottest part of the day. Only makes sense. I just think it's kind of shitty. Some person comes wandering by, thinks they've found maybe a home, maybe a meal, hell -- maybe just a glass of water. He knocks on a door, an answer never comes. Curtains always drawn. He'll think everyone in town's an asshole.
POTEMKIN
It's the price to be paid.
Potemkin lands on a blueprint. He pauses, considers it.
POTEMKIN
I love the architecture of illusion.
It takes so much more skill to build something that isn't real
than it does to build something that is.
The physics change.
In the real world, you follow the rules
and the construction stands.
In the illusion, it takes something more.
It requires the belief of the one who's watching.
That belief -- like mortar between bricks.
The construction hangs together
as long as the one who needs to believes.
To build that...
ICARUS
Is a lie.
POTEMKIN
What does it matter?
ICARUS
Someone believes the lie.
POTEMKIN
Yes. There's an elegance in that.
Silence.
ICARUS
There's a moment when I'm flying, and the sweat running down my face starts to run in streams instead of drops, and I know it's coming. The moment when the ascent becomes descent, and everything falls apart. I hate that moment, because it's filled with terror -- this terror that would just shoot through me and stretch every inch of me to the point of breaking. And I look over to my right wing, and the strong line of white feathers that guided me up into the sky starts to bend and curve, and the wax begins to drip away, exposing the sticks and wire that my father used to build the frame, and as everything falls away, there's nothing but the bones -- and it's like watching the life disappear from something.
That's the price of illusion. You build something beautiful, but you don't see past the building. There's a moment for someone else when the wires are exposed. When the flesh is torn away.
POTEMKIN
I care about what's beautiful.
ICARUS
The truth is beautiful.
POTEMKIN
The truth is impossible to construct.
ICARUS
The truth is beautiful.
POTEMKIN
Illusion is the only beauty I know.
Silence. Potemkin sits at his table.
We are suddenly aware of the hollowness behind his eyes.
1) Of the top nineteen (19) banks in the nation, sixteen (16) are technically insolvent.
2) Of the 16 banks that are already technically insolvent, not even one can withstand any disruption of cash flow at all or any further deterioration in non-paying loans.
3) If any two of the 16 insolvent banks go under, they will totally wipe out all remaining FDIC insurance funding.
4) Of the top 19 banks in the nation, the top five (5) largest banks are under capitalized so dangerously, there is serious doubt about their ability to continue as ongoing businesses.
5) Five large U.S. banks have credit exposure related to their derivatives trading that exceeds their capital, with four in particular - JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, HSBC Bank America and Citibank - taking especially large risks.
6) Bank of America`s total credit exposure to derivatives was 179 percent of its risk-based capital; Citibank`s was 278 percent; JPMorgan Chase`s, 382 percent; and HSBC America`s, 550 percent. It gets even worse: Goldman Sachs began reporting as a commercial bank, revealing an alarming total credit exposure of 1,056 percent, or more than ten times its capital!
7) Not only are there serious questions about whether or not JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs,Citibank, Wells Fargo, Sun Trust Bank, HSBC Bank USA, can continue in business, more than 1,800 regional and smaller institutions are at risk of failure despite government bailouts!
The debt crisis is much greater than the government has reported. The FDIC`s "Problem List" of troubled banks includes 252 institutions with assets of $159 billion. 1,816 banks and thrifts are at risk of failure, with total assets of $4.67 trillion, compared to 1,568 institutions, with $2.32 trillion in total assets in prior quarter.
Put bluntly, the entire US Banking System is in complete and total collapse.
Yay! I'm now a billionaire!
The BAD BANK Bailout Scam
Here’s how the Fed’s latest plan will screw the taxpayers and make billions for banks like Citi, BOA, JPM et al... (This is simplified on purpose so there's no mention of the investor pool, the FDIC's role or the 1:6 leverage, etc.)
Step 1: Citi creates a new Bad Bank subsidiary-- call it $hiti Bank. This will be an off-balance-sheet company.
Step 2: Citi then uses $10 billion of TARP funds from the Fed to set up and capitalize $hiti.
Step 3: Citi instructs $hiti to bid on $250 billion dollars of bad assets currently held by Citi. These assets are not worth $250 billion; that is their face value. This means Citi paid $250 billion dollars to buy these assets (Mortgage Backed Securities for example) that turned toxic. The problem is the assets are now only worth $10 billion when marked to market. $hiti would not bid $250 billion dollars for these gems. No, anyone could tell these ‘misunderstood’ and ‘undervalued’ assets must be worth at least $300 billion dollars when the market turns around.
So $hiti places a bid and ‘wins’ $10 billion worth of assets for $300 billion.
$hiti now needs to come up with $290 billion dollars (remember it only has $10 billion of TARP funds in the game right now) in order to buy Citi's bad assets. This is where the government comes in. Tax-Cheating’ Timmy Geithner's plan will lend the other $290 billion to complete the transaction between Citi and $hiti.
So now at Citi, I make $50 billion dollars of profit as I get $300 billion for assets that were originally worth $250 billion before they became non-performing.
$hiti does not fair quite so well since the assets it bought are really worth no more than $10 billion dollars when marked to market. So over time the loan the government gave me through Geithner goes bad, and $hiti goes bankrupt. Unfortunately Citi loses its $10 billion ‘investment’ in $hiti.
So to recap. Citi gets to shift $250 billion dollars of turds that are now worth only $10 billion dollars, to you-- the tax payer for $300 billion. Citi gets a $50 billion dollar profit from the sale, and $hiti gives Citi a $10 billion dollar loss. As a result Citi makes $40 billion dollars. And this will not be a one time scam since Citi doesn’t know which of it’s existing loans will default in the future.
In reality Citi won't be so blatant as to buy their own assets. They will end up colluding with Bank of America and JP Morgan and other banks, with the help of Geithner, to buy each others' assets. This way it all appears to be legit, while the taxpayer is fleeced for vast sums of money.
Now it’s BONUS time! No wonder the DOW jumped 500 points yesterday when this policy was released…


